Abstract
Existing capabilities to quantitatively model carbide precipitation and sensitization development in austenitic stainless steels are assessed and critically analyzed. A theoretically-based, empirically-modified model is described which predicts carbide nucleation kinetics, chromium depletion characteristics and material degree of sensitization (DOS) as measured by the electrochemical potentiokinetic reactivation (EPR) test. Individual model components are validated by correlation to the available data base including direct comparisons to grain boundary chromium depletion. Model is shown to quantitatively predict isothermal sensitization development in a large number of commercial Type 304 and 316 stainless steel heats. This work represents a first step to evolve methods that realistically assess microstructural characteristics and structural reliability in stainless steel components and weldments.